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Ten EU States Push to Rethink Fuel Carbon Price Ahead of Market Overhaul

Ten EU States Push to Rethink Fuel Carbon Price Ahead of Market Overhaul

Ten European Union member states, including Italy and Poland, have urged Brussels to reconsider a planned carbon price on transport and heating fuels as part of a broader revision of the bloc's emissions trading system due Friday. The joint statement, signed by Italy, Poland, Bulgaria, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia, argues that European citizens should not face new climate taxes given current economic and geopolitical conditions. The dispute sets these ten countries against ETS2 supporters including Germany and Sweden, and could complicate the Commission's plans to update its main climate policy tool.

 

What ETS2 Is and Why It's Contentious

 

The measure at the centre of the dispute, known as ETS2, is a planned extension of the EU's existing carbon market to cover heating and transport fuels, requiring suppliers to pay for the emissions associated with the fuel they sell, a cost expected to be passed through to consumers filling their cars and heating their homes. The scheme is scheduled to take effect in 2028 after Brussels already delayed it by a year in response to earlier government pushback over consumer cost concerns.

Supporters of ETS2 argue the carbon price is essential to driving the shift toward cleaner vehicles and home heating systems, since without a financial cost attached to fossil fuel consumption, the economic incentive to switch to electric vehicles or heat pumps remains weaker than it would otherwise be. They also point to a revenue recycling mechanism built into the scheme, under which proceeds from the carbon charge are meant to be reinvested in helping households and businesses switch to clean technologies, intended to offset the cost burden on consumers over time rather than simply taxing fossil fuel use without redirecting the proceeds toward the transition itself.

 

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The Political Coalition Opposing the Measure

 

The ten countries opposing ETS2 span a mix of Southern, Central and Eastern European member states, several of which have historically expressed concern that EU climate policies impose disproportionate costs on citizens in lower-income member states where energy costs already represent a larger share of household budgets. Their joint statement frames the issue explicitly in terms of timing, arguing that new climate taxes are inappropriate given current economic and geopolitical circumstances, a reference to broader cost-of-living pressures affecting European consumers.

That coalition carries real institutional weight beyond its public statement. Under the EU's voting system, the ten signatory countries hold enough votes to block amendments they oppose when the European Parliament and Council negotiate the final carbon market revision, meaning this is not merely a symbolic objection but a coalition with genuine leverage over the outcome, regardless of what the Commission proposes on Friday.

 

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The Deeper Dispute Over Free Carbon Permits

 

Beyond ETS2 itself, the same ten countries are also pushing for changes to the EU's existing carbon market covering power plants, factories, airlines and shipping companies, specifically calling for industries to receive more free CO2 permits without broad conditions attached. That demand puts them at odds with the Commission's stated position, which favours extending free permits only to companies that commit to investing in decarbonisation within Europe, tying continued relief from carbon costs to demonstrated transition progress rather than granting it unconditionally.

That disagreement reflects a recurring tension in EU carbon market design between protecting the competitiveness of European industry, particularly sectors exposed to cheaper, less carbon-constrained competition from outside the bloc, and maintaining the carbon price signal that is meant to drive genuine emissions reductions. Unconditional free permits reduce the immediate cost burden on industry but also weaken the financial incentive for companies to decarbonise, while conditional permits tied to investment commitments preserve that incentive but require companies to demonstrate concrete transition plans to retain the relief.

The Commission has indicated it does not want to further amend ETS2 itself before the scheme launches, arguing companies need time to prepare for rules already agreed. Whether the ten-country coalition's leverage in the legislative process succeeds in altering or delaying ETS2 further, and how the Commission's proposed conditions on free industrial permits fare against the opposing coalition's push for unconditional relief, will shape the final structure of the EU's carbon market well beyond Friday's initial proposal.

 

 

Source: Reuters

 

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DD

Daniel Dun

Senior Advisor

Daniel is a finance professional with experience across commodities trading, investment banking, and private credit, having worked with firms like Glencore and BTG Pactual across global markets. He has worked on carbon offset products and project finance, with a focus on sustainability and capital markets. He has also supported product management at BlockFi, helping bridge DeFi and traditional finance. Daniel holds a Master’s degree in Economics.

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