Chile is preparing for a shift to the political right in March, when José Antonio Kast is expected to assume the presidency. The change in leadership has triggered questions in markets about whether the country will slow the pace of sovereign borrowing tied to environmental and social goals. Analysts and market participants quoted in the report suggest that a broad pullback is unlikely, arguing that the underlying drivers of ESG-labelled issuance in Chile are economic as much as political, and that the country has built a reputation with investors that future governments may be reluctant to undermine.

Rather than stepping away from sustainable finance, the view presented is that Chile will continue courting global investors who allocate capital to sustainability-linked instruments, particularly as it looks to fund priorities such as renewable energy expansion and the development of green hydrogen. The logic, as framed by market participants, is that these investments can support energy security and reduce the need for higher fossil fuel imports, while also aligning with the mandates of a growing pool of international capital.

A Rightward Political Shift, With Limited Signals of a Break

Concerns about a potential slowdown are rooted in the profile of the incoming administration, but the article emphasizes that observers are not expecting an abrupt reversal. Nicolas Jaquier of Ninety One is quoted arguing that the sustainability agenda in Chile remains broadly supported across the political spectrum, and that the case for raising capital through ESG-linked formats continues to be compelling. The expectation is that policy emphasis could change as the new government advances its own priorities, but without abandoning the approach entirely.

The report also notes that continuity has been a recurring feature of Chile’s sustainability-linked issuance across different administrations, which is presented as a key reason the market expects the strategy to persist even under a government with a different ideological direction.

A Track Record That Spans Governments

Chile’s role as an early mover in the Americas is highlighted as part of the country’s credibility with investors. In 2019, it became the first sovereign issuer in the region to sell a green bond, a milestone achieved under then president Sebastián Piñera. That point is used to reinforce the argument that the country’s approach has not been confined to any single political camp.

Rodrigo García of ImplementaSur is cited describing Chile’s tendency to maintain policies that are delivering results, suggesting that the country’s standing in sustainable finance is built on institutional consistency rather than partisan identity. The report also notes that the transition team for Kast did not respond to a request for comment, leaving analysts to infer direction from past patterns and from campaign commitments.

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Campaign Priorities That Still Reference Clean Power and Permitting

The article points to elements of Kast’s platform that align, at least in part, with continued sustainability-related investment. These include proposals to scale renewable generation and energy storage with the aim of reducing electricity costs. It also references his stated intention to accelerate approvals by removing regulatory bottlenecks affecting delayed mining and renewable projects, positioning faster permitting as a lever to unlock investment and expand capacity that could support industrial demand and data center growth.

A quote attributed to Kast in a debate is framed as a signal of compatibility between investment and environmental protection, suggesting that the incoming administration may seek a pro-investment approach without formally discarding environmental considerations.

Innovation Under Boric, Including a Biodiversity-Linked SLB

The report credits additional milestones to the outgoing left-leaning administration of Gabriel Boric. In 2022, Chile became the first sovereign globally to issue a sustainability-linked bond, where financing costs are partly tied to progress on environmental and social objectives. The following year, the framework was expanded to incorporate gender equality targets.

Most notably, the article says that Chile has now issued a sustainability-linked bond tied exclusively to biodiversity metrics, described as a first-of-its-kind structure for any issuer. This is presented as timely given rising global attention on nature loss, including the risk that ecosystem degradation can intensify climate impacts while also affecting economic activity and tourism.

Anthropocene Fixed Income Institute research director Jonas David is quoted describing the deal as evidence of continued innovation, arguing that Chile’s repeated first-mover actions have strengthened its standing with investors. The report adds that reputational credibility in this segment is difficult to build and therefore not something policymakers would want to erode quickly, particularly when it supports access to a differentiated investor base.

Why Officials Say ESG Labels Are a Financing Tool First

Chile’s own officials, as quoted, frame ESG issuance as a means to secure the most favorable financing terms, rather than an end in itself. Carola Moreno of Chile Ministry of Finance is cited emphasizing that the primary objective is to fund the republic at the lowest possible cost, while acknowledging that a broader and more diversified investor base is an advantage when it comes with better market access.

That motivation is linked directly to the latest biodiversity-linked issuance. The article describes biodiversity finance as a relatively new segment with limited supply of credible instruments, which can concentrate demand when a sovereign with established market access offers a well-defined structure.

Oversubscription, 30 by 30 Alignment, and Incentives Built Into the Coupon

Demand signals were described as strong. The biodiversity-linked tranche was reported to be 3.4 times oversubscribed, which officials presented as evidence that innovation can expand the investor base further each time Chile introduces a new structure.

The report also notes that the bond design aligns with a global “30 by 30” ambition, referring to the international commitment adopted in 2022 to protect at least 30 percent of land and waters by 2030. The structure is also presented as being supported by domestic policy action, referencing a 2023 measure approved by the national legislature that expanded protected areas, which observers argue adds credibility to the bond’s targets.

In terms of incentives, the bond includes a commonly used step-up mechanism. If Chile fails to achieve the defined targets, the 3.875 percent coupon increases by 25 basis points. The article adds that Chile also included a step-down feature, allowing the coupon to fall by 25 basis points if targets are met, effectively lowering funding costs in the success case.

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A Practical Limit to ESG Issuance, Driven by Currency Risk Preferences

While Chile has built a large share of ESG-labelled borrowing, the article suggests the country may be nearing a natural ceiling. Nearly 40 percent of outstanding Chilean bonds are now reported to carry an ESG label, close to the finance ministry’s stated range of 40 to 50 percent.

Víctor González is quoted saying there is no need to expand labelled issuance simply for the sake of increasing the percentage. The constraint described is structural: Chile often issues ESG-labelled debt in external markets, and accelerating that issuance could conflict with another priority, which is to keep most sovereign debt denominated in local currency to manage foreign exchange risk.

As a result, the ministry’s focus is presented as shifting toward maintaining quality and ensuring delivery against targets, rather than maximizing volume.

From Labels to Delivery, With More Sophisticated Reporting

The final theme in the report is credibility through execution. Officials describe improvements over time in reporting, inter-agency coordination, and the overall sophistication of the framework that supports ESG-linked instruments. The core message is that sustainable finance leadership is sustained not by issuing labelled bonds alone, but by demonstrating that targets are clear, governance is robust, and progress is tracked and reported in a way that investors can trust.

Taken together, the article argues that Chile’s sustainable finance model is likely to remain active through the leadership transition, supported by cross-government continuity, investor demand for credible innovation, and a financing strategy that treats sustainability-linked structures as a tool for market access and cost-effective funding.

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